Season 4, Post 29: What, no global warming?

As your author sits penning this piece, the temperature in London is approaching 30 degrees Celsius. Later today, it might reach 40 degrees.

Season 4, Post 29: What, no global warming?

As your author sits penning this piece, the temperature in London is approaching 30 degrees Celsius. Later today, it might reach 40 degrees. This would constitute a record. It’s currently warmer here than in parts of the Sahara and the Caribbean. Around Europe, there have been deadly wildfires in exposed regions of France, Portugal and Spain. Readers in the US will be unfortunately familiar with droughts and wildfires across large parts of the country, particularly California. Sure, seasonally abnormal weather patterns can always occur, but have no doubt, there is growing evidence of climate change.  

‘Code red for humanity’ was the emotive expression used by the United Nations Secretary General, Antonio Guterres, last August to describe the potential threat posed by such change. His assertion was, that without dramatic cuts to pollution, the world would see its temperature rise by 1.5 degrees over the next 20 years. Many countries have recognised this imperative for some time, with the share of world electricity generated by renewable sources having risen fivefold in the last decade, albeit from a low base.

Given current momentum, renewables may account for 50% of the world's energy mix by 2050 (per Bloomberg New Energy Foundation). Some might argue that Vladimir Putin has perhaps done more to accelerate the clean energy transition than anyone in history. Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, 19 European governments have now accelerated their decarbonisation plans. Under the latest national commitments, EU countries are aiming for 63% of renewables in electricity generation by 2030, up from 55% targeted at the start of the year (data from Ember Analytics).

It was, however, highly disappointing to read last Friday – even as much of the world was already sweltering – that US Senator Joe Manchin, Chair of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, announced he would not be supporting President Biden’s economic package of increased funding for climate change provisions. Listed renewable energy stocks duly fell. Under the proposed plan, there would have been increased provisions for clean energy and climate change initiatives as well as a tax credit for producers of clean energy. Sure, it seems likely that politics played a role in this decision – both Democrats and Republicans are concerned that accelerated expenditure of this nature could be inflationary at a time of existing economic difficulties for many – but it’s hard not to view this news with dismay. Progress is being made in many regions of the world to tackle climate change, but the clue is in the name: global warming is a worldwide phenomenon. Every country needs to play its part. One can only hope for a potential reversal of current thinking in the US.  

19 July 2022

The above does not constitute investment advice and is the sole opinion of the author at the time of publication. Past performance is no guide to future performance and the value of investments and income from them can fall as well as rise.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​
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Alex Gunz, Fund Manager

Disclaimers

The document is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or any recommendation to buy, or sell or otherwise transact in any investments. The document is not intended to be construed as investment research. The contents of this document are based upon sources of information which Heptagon Capital LLP believes to be reliable. However, except to the extent required by applicable law or regulations, no guarantee, warranty or representation (express or implied) is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this document or its contents and, Heptagon Capital LLP, its affiliate companies and its members, officers, employees, agents and advisors do not accept any liability or responsibility in respect of the information or any views expressed herein. Opinions expressed whether in general or in both on the performance of individual investments and in a wider economic context represent the views of the contributor at the time of preparation. Where this document provides forward-looking statements which are based on relevant reports, current opinions, expectations and projections, actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. All opinions and estimates included in the document are subject to change without notice and Heptagon Capital LLP is under no obligation to update or revise information contained in the document. Furthermore, Heptagon Capital LLP disclaims any liability for any loss, damage, costs or expenses (including direct, indirect, special and consequential) howsoever arising which any person may suffer or incur as a result of viewing or utilising any information included in this document. 

The document is protected by copyright. The use of any trademarks and logos displayed in the document without Heptagon Capital LLP's prior written consent is strictly prohibited. Information in the document must not be published or redistributed without Heptagon Capital LLP's prior written consent. 

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